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Indian stock markets are starting May 8, 2025, on a cautiously optimistic note amid a complex mix of domestic and global factors that traders and investors must closely monitor. The key benchmarks, Sensex and Nifty 50, showed resilience in the previous session by closing higher despite mounting geopolitical tensions triggered by India’s Operation Sindoor against terrorist camps in Pakistan. This military operation has heightened India-Pakistan tensions, with retaliatory threats and conflict along the Line of Control, injecting a layer of uncertainty in market sentiment.

The Sensex closed modestly up by 0.13% at 80,746.78, while the Nifty 50 ended 0.14% higher at 24,414.40. However, futures trading in Gift Nifty suggested a cautious start with a slight discount indicating potential weakness. Market experts highlight a non-directional market texture, suggesting traders are waiting for a definitive breakout either above resistance or below support levels. For Sensex, resistance lies near 81,000 to 81,500 levels, with support around 80,500 to 80,200 and a possible downside extension towards 79,800 to 80,000 if selling pressure intensifies.

Technical analysis for Nifty 50 signals a range-bound movement within a rising wedge pattern, with key short-term support around 24,200 to 24,300 and immediate resistance between 24,530 and 24,750. Analysts note the market’s resilience with a bullish candle formation and positive momentum indicators such as the Relative Strength Index hovering around 65 and MACD confirming continuation. Traders should watch for a decisive move above 24,590 to trigger a sharp rally towards 24,800-24,850, while slides below 24,200 might prompt a downward correction.

Bank Nifty, a critical indicator of financial sector sentiment, showed a stronger bullish stance by gaining 0.63% to 54,610.90, forming a Piercing Line candlestick pattern indicative of buying strength. Technical levels key for traders include strong support at 53,800 and 54,200 intraday zones, with an upside breakout beyond 55,100 signaling further gains. The limited retracement from the recent rally and consolidation within 53,500 to 56,000 points to sustained positive momentum in banking stocks.

On the global front, the US Federal Reserve’s decision to maintain interest rates at 4.25-4.5% without cuts has reassured markets by signaling a wait-and-watch approach amidst inflation and employment uncertainties. This stance is expected to keep global liquidity stable, benefiting emerging markets including India. Foreign Institutional Investors have intensified buying activity in Indian equities, amassing significant net purchases recently, reflecting confidence in domestic markets despite geopolitical risks.

Furthermore, investors today must pay attention to quarterly earnings reports from major companies such as L&T, Titan, Britannia, Biocon, and Bharat Forge, which could provide fresh triggers for stock movements. Defensive sectors like defense manufacturing are also drawing interest given the government’s push for modernization amid the current geopolitical backdrop.

For stock traders and financial market investors, the unfolding scenario demands a balanced approach. Tactical range trading strategies with defined entry and exit around key technical levels can help navigate volatility. The interplay of geopolitics, Fed policy stances, and corporate earnings will continue to influence market direction in the near term. Staying updated on intraday moves in Nifty, Sensex, Bank Nifty, and sectoral indices will be crucial for capitalizing on market opportunities while managing risks effectively.

In summary, May 8’s trading session is shaped by cautious optimism underpinned by technical resilience, tempered by geopolitical tensions and global macroeconomic uncertainties. Investors are advised to watch critical support and resistance levels, track developments on the India-Pakistan front, and heed global policy cues to make informed decisions in this dynamic market environment.

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